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Red104
349031.8
547226.3
172329.7
Blue69
373524.3
533324.2
587023.0
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8661204010012014010469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3490
#53
31.81.3
29.731.0
Auto9.6
Teleop16.8
End5.5
red by 7.6
3735
#74
24.30.4
21.521.9
Auto5.2
Teleop12.3
End6.8
Second
1723
#25
29.71.3
26.627.9
Auto8.1
Teleop14.7
End6.8
red by 5.5
5333
#67
24.20.4
21.421.8
Auto4.9
Teleop15.6
End3.6
Third
5472
#28
26.31.3
23.124.4
Auto10.2
Teleop12.1
End4.0
red by 3.3
5870
#70
23.00.4
19.820.3
Auto8.3
Teleop11.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach oddsEarned52%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed