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Qual 72016 Carver Division
Red100
19030.8
83436.8
2041.1
Blue113
7839.7
111454.4
29528.1
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10713050150200100113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20
#16
41.10.5
38.1→37.7
Auto11.2
Teleop24.1
End5.8
blue by 13.2
1114
#27
54.41.7
56.0→54.3
Auto17.6
Teleop27.5
End9.3
Second
834
#14
36.80.5
34.1→33.7
Auto12.2
Teleop20.6
End4.1
blue by 2.8
78
#18
39.71.7
40.3→38.6
Auto15.1
Teleop19.1
End5.5
Third
190
#65
30.80.5
34.8→34.4
Auto11.8
Teleop14.7
End4.2
red by 2.7
295
#23
28.11.7
26.7→25.1
Auto10.5
Teleop14.1
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
60%Capture oddsMissed43%Capture oddsMissed