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Red119
38430.6
166525.4
91041.6
Blue131
57338.7
353637.0
248159.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9314150150200119131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#45
41.60.8
40.341.0
Auto18.1
Teleop18.4
End5.1
blue by 17.9
59.60.3
56.155.8
Auto20.0
Teleop33.0
End6.6
Second
384
#50
30.60.8
29.830.6
Auto7.2
Teleop18.9
End4.6
blue by 8.1
573
#15
38.70.3
37.637.3
Auto9.7
Teleop24.7
End4.4
Third
1665
#72
25.40.8
27.528.3
Auto4.5
Teleop16.9
End4.0
blue by 11.6
3536
#20
37.00.3
36.436.1
Auto11.9
Teleop20.8
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
82%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsEarned59%Capture oddsMissed