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Red124
341939.6
581625.6
130546.5
Blue125
546053.9
284635.8
22836.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11013050100150200124125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.50.6
46.046.6
Auto7.5
Teleop34.4
End4.7
blue by 7.4
53.90.1
52.452.6
Auto9.4
Teleop36.1
End8.4
Second
3419
#46
39.60.6
40.941.5
Auto12.9
Teleop22.1
End4.7
red by 2.9
228
#34
36.70.1
35.535.6
Auto8.4
Teleop22.3
End6.0
Third
5816
#66
25.60.6
22.823.4
Auto7.9
Teleop12.9
End4.9
blue by 10.2
2846
#39
35.80.1
35.235.3
Auto10.4
Teleop20.1
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
14%Capture oddsEarned25%Capture oddsEarned