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Red93
430117.9
373524.3
12044.8
Blue132
5732.2
174642.9
148137.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7411705010015020093132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
120
#62
44.81.0
41.242.2
Auto10.3
Teleop27.2
End7.3
red by 1.9
1746
#24
42.91.3
42.543.8
Auto10.7
Teleop22.4
End9.7
Second
3735
#74
24.31.0
23.324.3
Auto5.2
Teleop12.3
End6.8
blue by 13.1
1481
#48
37.41.3
37.138.4
Auto8.4
Teleop21.8
End7.2
Third
4301
#75
17.91.0
13.614.6
Auto4.2
Teleop11.6
End2.1
blue by 14.3
57
#10
32.21.3
27.829.1
Auto9.0
Teleop18.0
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
51%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed24%Capture oddsEarned