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Red80
263430.6
356223.4
83436.8
Blue119
172329.7
248159.6
425331.3
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions791235010015020080119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
834
#14
36.80.2
34.234.0
Auto12.2
Teleop20.6
End4.1
blue by 22.7
59.60.1
55.855.9
Auto20.0
Teleop33.0
End6.6
Second
2634
#30
30.60.2
29.028.8
Auto10.3
Teleop15.5
End4.9
blue by 0.6
4253
#35
31.30.1
28.728.8
Auto10.0
Teleop15.0
End6.2
Third
3562
#71
23.40.2
20.119.9
Auto6.6
Teleop12.2
End4.6
blue by 6.2
1723
#25
29.70.1
28.328.3
Auto8.1
Teleop14.7
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
6%Capture oddsMissed8%Capture oddsMissed