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Qual 992016 Carver Division
Red122
33061.0
532631.2
190225.5
Blue109
164830.4
57338.7
108641.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11611580100140160180122109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
330
#2
61.00.6
56.1→56.8
Auto15.2
Teleop35.4
End10.5
red by 19.9
1086
#49
41.10.9
40.5→39.6
Auto10.0
Teleop26.5
End4.5
Second
5326
#29
31.20.6
30.0→30.7
Auto8.9
Teleop20.2
End2.2
blue by 7.5
573
#15
38.70.9
37.6→36.7
Auto9.7
Teleop24.7
End4.4
Third
1902
#59
25.50.6
26.3→26.9
Auto9.1
Teleop11.2
End5.2
blue by 4.9
1648
#61
30.40.9
33.8→32.9
Auto8.3
Teleop19.9
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed25%Capture oddsMissed