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Red142
210230.6
302134.7
248629.5
Blue110
244327.0
263735.0
157224.6
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123986080140160142110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.70.0
35.535.5
Auto9.0
Teleop21.1
End4.6
blue by 0.3
35.00.1
34.734.9
Auto7.4
Teleop20.1
End7.4
Second
2102
#21
30.60.0
31.431.4
Auto7.8
Teleop18.1
End4.7
red by 3.6
2443
#35
27.00.1
26.826.9
Auto5.6
Teleop17.8
End3.6
Third
2486
#11
29.50.0
30.430.4
Auto7.8
Teleop16.9
End4.8
red by 5.0
1572
#48
24.60.1
24.324.4
Auto6.0
Teleop15.1
End3.5