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Red22
119723.2
49199.8
370411.2
Blue68
473814.6
519928.9
312829.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4165020801001201402268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1197
#30
23.23.5
14.911.3
Auto6.7
Teleop12.9
End3.7
blue by 5.9
29.11.0
25.726.6
Auto6.0
Teleop18.8
End4.3
Second
3704
#46
11.23.5
17.614.1
Auto5.5
Teleop4.7
End0.9
blue by 17.7
28.91.0
21.722.6
Auto8.3
Teleop14.4
End6.2
Third
4919
#57
9.83.5
11.27.7
Auto3.5
Teleop7.4
End-1.1
blue by 4.8
4738
#40
14.61.0
11.912.9
Auto2.5
Teleop9.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
37%Breach oddsMissed70%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed