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Red46
126623.1
502523.6
458319.7
Blue62
115926.1
396523.5
233921.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61552040801004662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5025
#13
23.62.5
19.316.8
Auto7.6
Teleop10.8
End5.1
blue by 2.5
1159
#10
26.10.9
20.921.8
Auto7.2
Teleop12.2
End6.6
Second
1266
#26
23.12.5
23.320.8
Auto7.9
Teleop11.6
End3.6
blue by 0.4
3965
#22
23.50.9
17.418.3
Auto7.0
Teleop13.5
End3.1
Third
4583
#29
19.72.5
15.813.3
Auto5.4
Teleop12.4
End1.8
blue by 1.4
2339
#41
21.10.9
15.816.7
Auto4.6
Teleop11.4
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
50%Breach oddsMissed44%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed