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Qual 392016 San Diego Regional
Red65
413910.1
210230.6
364724.8
Blue77
407813.5
81229.2
244519.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505020304060706577

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2102
#21
30.60.8
23.3→24.0
Auto7.8
Teleop18.1
End4.7
red by 1.4
812
#17
29.23.1
20.3→23.4
Auto7.8
Teleop16.8
End4.7
Second
3647
#23
24.80.8
16.3→17.1
Auto9.1
Teleop10.8
End5.0
red by 5.1
2445
#34
19.73.1
18.8→21.9
Auto3.0
Teleop13.0
End3.7
Third
4139
#56
10.10.8
8.5→9.3
Auto3.3
Teleop6.1
End0.7
blue by 3.4
4078
#53
13.53.1
10.3→13.3
Auto5.4
Teleop6.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
36%Breach oddsMissed32%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed