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Red115
302134.7
114825.2
248527.1
Blue45
413910.1
401423.8
370411.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7733020406010012011545

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.75.2
27.132.3
Auto9.0
Teleop21.1
End4.6
red by 10.8
4014
#14
23.80.7
18.218.9
Auto6.3
Teleop13.1
End4.5
Second
2485
#28
27.15.2
22.127.3
Auto7.4
Teleop17.1
End2.6
red by 15.9
3704
#46
11.20.7
12.913.6
Auto5.5
Teleop4.7
End0.9
Third
1148
#27
25.25.2
19.324.5
Auto8.1
Teleop13.1
End4.1
red by 15.1
4139
#56
10.10.7
7.88.5
Auto3.3
Teleop6.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
74%Breach oddsEarned23%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed