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Red59
388226.6
562717.4
519928.9
Blue70
396523.5
39925.5
513725.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions676655607075805970

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.90.6
25.825.2
Auto8.3
Teleop14.4
End6.2
red by 3.4
399
#12
25.50.7
23.323.9
Auto7.1
Teleop15.2
End3.2
Second
3882
#24
26.60.6
23.322.7
Auto5.7
Teleop17.1
End3.7
red by 1.4
5137
#19
25.20.7
20.020.6
Auto5.8
Teleop14.0
End5.4
Third
5627
#47
17.40.6
15.514.9
Auto5.0
Teleop8.9
End3.6
blue by 6.1
3965
#22
23.50.7
20.921.6
Auto7.0
Teleop13.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
58%Breach oddsEarned46%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed