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Red69
450126.0
416014.6
407813.5
Blue82
547421.3
551422.4
115926.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions446602060801001206982

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4501
#20
26.00.9
20.621.5
Auto3.2
Teleop17.9
End4.9
blue by 0.1
1159
#10
26.12.4
22.224.6
Auto7.2
Teleop12.2
End6.6
Second
4160
#58
14.60.9
12.213.1
Auto0.8
Teleop12.6
End1.1
blue by 7.8
5514
#18
22.42.4
18.520.9
Auto5.9
Teleop12.3
End4.2
Third
4078
#53
13.50.9
13.414.3
Auto5.4
Teleop6.1
End2.0
blue by 7.8
5474
#25
21.32.4
19.822.2
Auto8.4
Teleop9.2
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
28%Breach oddsMissed77%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed