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Red58
39925.5
248629.5
588412.2
Blue40
282715.8
54778.0
244327.0
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69460204060801005840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2486
#11
29.50.7
28.327.6
Auto7.8
Teleop16.9
End4.8
red by 2.5
2443
#35
27.01.4
25.724.2
Auto5.6
Teleop17.8
End3.6
Second
399
#12
25.50.7
23.923.2
Auto7.1
Teleop15.2
End3.2
red by 9.7
2827
#39
15.81.4
12.210.8
Auto6.7
Teleop6.9
End2.2
Third
5884
#42
12.20.7
11.811.1
Auto4.0
Teleop5.8
End2.3
red by 4.2
5477
#60
8.01.4
10.28.7
Auto1.2
Teleop7.2
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
65%Breach oddsEarned31%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed