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Red60
562717.4
46169.5
81229.2
Blue52
298413.2
407813.5
126623.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53513540456065706052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
812
#17
29.20.2
27.627.4
Auto7.8
Teleop16.8
End4.7
red by 6.1
1266
#26
23.10.2
22.222.4
Auto7.9
Teleop11.6
End3.6
Second
5627
#47
17.40.2
14.914.8
Auto5.0
Teleop8.9
End3.6
red by 4.0
4078
#53
13.50.2
14.314.5
Auto5.4
Teleop6.1
End2.0
Third
4616
#52
9.50.2
9.08.8
Auto0.8
Teleop7.5
End1.2
blue by 3.6
2984
#45
13.20.2
13.713.9
Auto5.1
Teleop7.9
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
31%Breach oddsMissed30%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed