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Red60
114825.2
298413.2
81229.2
Blue49
197223.7
348613.4
502523.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions715940801001206049

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
812
#17
29.21.8
27.425.7
Auto7.8
Teleop16.8
End4.7
red by 5.5
1972
#32
23.71.1
24.423.3
Auto3.8
Teleop14.6
End5.4
Second
1148
#27
25.21.8
25.723.9
Auto8.1
Teleop13.1
End4.1
red by 1.6
5025
#13
23.61.1
22.121.0
Auto7.6
Teleop10.8
End5.1
Third
2984
#45
13.21.8
13.912.2
Auto5.1
Teleop7.9
End0.2
blue by 0.2
3486
#49
13.41.1
12.911.8
Auto4.0
Teleop7.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
34%Breach oddsMissed61%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed