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Red55
54778.0
374910.0
416014.6
Blue70
388226.6
457820.1
413910.1
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions265702040801005570

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4160
#58
14.60.5
13.113.6
Auto0.8
Teleop12.6
End1.1
blue by 12.0
3882
#24
26.62.0
22.624.6
Auto5.7
Teleop17.1
End3.7
Second
3749
#54
10.00.5
8.28.7
Auto2.6
Teleop7.2
End0.2
blue by 10.1
4578
#37
20.12.0
19.221.2
Auto2.7
Teleop13.0
End4.4
Third
5477
#60
8.00.5
8.79.3
Auto1.2
Teleop7.2
End-0.4
blue by 2.1
4139
#56
10.12.0
8.710.7
Auto3.3
Teleop6.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
12%Breach oddsMissed42%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed