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Red42
370411.2
407813.5
588412.2
Blue34
5855.9
332822.3
249618.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365202060801004234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4078
#53
13.50.5
14.515.0
Auto5.4
Teleop6.1
End2.0
blue by 8.8
3328
#15
22.32.0
21.719.7
Auto3.1
Teleop14.0
End5.1
Second
5884
#42
12.20.5
11.111.6
Auto4.0
Teleop5.8
End2.3
blue by 6.1
2496
#38
18.32.0
17.615.6
Auto7.9
Teleop6.2
End4.2
Third
3704
#46
11.20.5
12.012.4
Auto5.5
Teleop4.7
End0.9
red by 5.2
585
#59
5.92.0
8.86.8
Auto0.8
Teleop4.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
24%Breach oddsMissed42%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed