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Red100
19235.0
248921.6
594025.1
Blue154
64929.5
592432.1
348228.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9911450150200100154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192
#19
35.00.0
35.035.0
Auto10.9
Teleop20.6
End3.4
red by 2.8
32.10.3
32.032.3
Auto9.0
Teleop18.2
End5.0
Second
5940
#15
25.10.1
25.125.1
Auto7.3
Teleop14.4
End3.4
blue by 4.5
649
#12
29.50.3
29.429.7
Auto8.4
Teleop16.5
End4.5
Third
21.60.0
21.621.6
Auto5.5
Teleop13.7
End2.4
blue by 7.2
3482
#44
28.80.3
28.729.0
Auto9.9
Teleop15.6
End3.3