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Red63
248921.6
567725.8
170025.7
Blue65
417120.1
25619.2
186827.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61642040801001206365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5677
#22
25.80.2
24.224.5
Auto7.6
Teleop14.7
End3.4
blue by 1.7
1868
#20
27.50.2
28.228.4
Auto8.4
Teleop15.3
End3.8
Second
1700
#30
25.70.3
21.521.8
Auto9.8
Teleop13.2
End2.7
red by 5.6
4171
#41
20.10.2
16.516.7
Auto8.6
Teleop7.6
End3.8
Third
21.60.2
14.414.6
Auto5.5
Teleop13.7
End2.4
red by 2.4
256
#11
19.20.3
17.517.8
Auto3.2
Teleop11.3
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
26%Breach oddsEarned57%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed