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Red111
97160.7
11520.3
186827.5
Blue62
75122.9
325630.0
570027.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11953010015011162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#3
60.71.4
57.055.6
Auto20.2
Teleop33.8
End6.6
red by 30.6
3256
#37
30.00.1
24.124.2
Auto6.6
Teleop19.6
End3.8
Second
1868
#20
27.51.0
28.427.5
Auto8.4
Teleop15.3
End3.8
Level
27.50.1
19.219.3
Auto8.8
Teleop14.8
End3.9
Third
115
#36
20.31.0
20.319.3
Auto6.8
Teleop11.0
End2.5
blue by 2.6
751
#27
22.90.1
17.918.0
Auto7.1
Teleop12.9
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned61%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
4%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed