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Red54
415918.0
264320.2
603927.4
Blue82
213523.2
592432.1
418621.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53690204060801001205482

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.40.0
19.819.8
Auto7.5
Teleop15.3
End4.6
blue by 4.7
32.11.4
28.329.7
Auto9.0
Teleop18.2
End5.0
Second
2643
#18
20.20.0
17.217.2
Auto3.5
Teleop14.8
End2.0
blue by 3.0
2135
#56
23.21.4
18.319.6
Auto8.2
Teleop11.6
End3.5
Third
4159
#59
18.00.0
16.816.9
Auto4.0
Teleop11.3
End2.7
blue by 3.9
4186
#28
21.81.4
18.419.8
Auto5.0
Teleop11.5
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
33%Breach oddsEarned64%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed