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Red66
166230.6
502720.3
76615.9
Blue67
203523.8
285419.3
517118.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6160405070806667

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1662
#29
30.60.6
29.229.9
Auto8.1
Teleop15.2
End7.3
red by 6.7
2035
#32
23.80.6
26.126.7
Auto7.4
Teleop12.7
End3.7
Second
5027
#40
20.30.9
17.718.6
Auto8.9
Teleop8.8
End2.5
red by 1.0
2854
#51
19.30.6
18.719.3
Auto7.0
Teleop10.8
End1.5
Third
766
#35
15.90.6
11.311.9
Auto3.9
Teleop8.6
End3.3
blue by 2.5
5171
#34
18.40.8
14.815.6
Auto6.6
Teleop10.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
55%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed