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Red68
330324.8
135124.9
508927.9
Blue74
570027.5
196721.8
128027.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions676740506080906874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5089
#26
27.91.0
24.023.0
Auto8.3
Teleop15.2
End4.5
red by 0.1
27.81.6
22.824.3
Auto7.1
Teleop16.1
End4.6
Second
1351
#23
24.90.9
22.821.9
Auto8.2
Teleop14.6
End2.1
blue by 2.5
27.51.8
17.319.2
Auto8.8
Teleop14.8
End3.9
Third
3303
#21
24.80.8
25.724.9
Auto7.9
Teleop12.7
End4.2
red by 2.9
1967
#31
21.81.6
17.519.1
Auto7.6
Teleop10.6
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach oddsEarned24%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed