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Red115
264320.2
76615.9
25463.7
Blue73
58116.9
84122.3
186827.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10158015020011573

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#2
63.71.6
59.461.0
Auto14.4
Teleop41.4
End7.9
red by 36.2
1868
#20
27.50.7
29.330.0
Auto8.4
Teleop15.3
End3.8
Second
2643
#18
20.21.6
17.318.8
Auto3.5
Teleop14.8
End2.0
blue by 2.1
841
#55
22.30.7
17.618.3
Auto2.6
Teleop18.5
End1.3
Third
766
#35
15.91.6
14.916.5
Auto3.9
Teleop8.6
End3.3
blue by 1.0
581
#54
16.90.7
15.716.4
Auto3.8
Teleop10.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsEarned41%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed