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Red69
570027.5
170025.7
517118.4
Blue79
490430.3
264320.2
502616.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7365020401001201401606979

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.50.0
25.225.2
Auto8.8
Teleop14.8
End3.9
blue by 2.9
4904
#13
30.30.7
28.329.0
Auto11.0
Teleop14.8
End4.5
Second
1700
#30
25.70.0
25.725.7
Auto9.8
Teleop13.2
End2.7
red by 5.5
2643
#18
20.20.7
19.620.2
Auto3.5
Teleop14.8
End2.0
Third
5171
#34
18.40.0
18.518.4
Auto6.6
Teleop10.5
End1.3
red by 1.7
5026
#38
16.70.7
16.016.7
Auto3.8
Teleop11.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
63%Breach oddsEarned62%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed