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Red195
25463.7
167860.4
166230.6
Blue114
64929.5
592432.1
348228.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21295050150250300350195114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#2
63.70.3
64.864.5
Auto14.4
Teleop41.4
End7.9
red by 31.6
32.10.2
32.332.1
Auto9.0
Teleop18.2
End5.0
Second
60.40.3
61.561.2
Auto16.0
Teleop37.2
End7.3
red by 30.9
649
#12
29.50.2
29.729.5
Auto8.4
Teleop16.5
End4.5
Third
1662
#29
30.60.3
31.731.4
Auto8.1
Teleop15.2
End7.3
red by 1.8
3482
#44
28.80.2
29.028.8
Auto9.9
Teleop15.6
End3.3