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Quarterfinal 4-22016 Ventura Regional
Red164
581828.2
580231.0
116027.4
Blue108
98027.2
448630.4
265925.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109102406080120140160180164108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5802
#4
31.00.5
31.0→31.5
Auto10.5
Teleop16.0
End4.5
red by 0.5
4486
#8
30.40.0
30.4→30.4
Auto9.7
Teleop15.2
End5.6
Second
5818
#28
28.20.5
28.3→28.8
Auto6.8
Teleop17.1
End4.3
red by 1.0
980
#19
27.20.0
27.2→27.2
Auto7.9
Teleop15.2
End4.1
Third
1160
#23
27.40.5
27.5→28.0
Auto5.7
Teleop17.0
End4.8
red by 2.3
2659
#27
25.20.0
25.2→25.2
Auto7.8
Teleop12.7
End4.7