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Qual 112016 Ventura Regional
Red45
265925.2
545218.9
567816.4
Blue59
242916.8
583933.0
399315.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions495902040801001201404559

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2659
#27
25.20.5
15.0→14.6
Auto7.8
Teleop12.7
End4.7
blue by 7.8
5839
#9
33.00.8
18.1→17.3
Auto7.7
Teleop16.9
End8.5
Second
5452
#33
18.90.5
15.3→14.8
Auto4.5
Teleop11.2
End3.1
red by 2.0
2429
#40
16.80.8
17.9→17.2
Auto4.2
Teleop9.9
End2.7
Third
5678
#37
16.40.5
18.9→18.5
Auto5.4
Teleop9.4
End1.7
red by 0.9
3993
#31
15.60.8
20.0→19.2
Auto6.0
Teleop9.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
40%Breach oddsMissed47%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed