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Red87
302714.3
330939.2
312013.6
Blue67
581828.2
69117.5
70217.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7461020401001201408767

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.20.9
35.836.7
Auto11.4
Teleop22.3
End5.6
red by 11.0
5818
#28
28.20.5
25.625.2
Auto6.8
Teleop17.1
End4.3
Second
3027
#35
14.31.4
18.820.2
Auto2.9
Teleop9.6
End1.8
blue by 3.2
691
#36
17.50.3
18.918.6
Auto7.4
Teleop8.2
End1.9
Third
3120
#39
13.61.4
15.116.5
Auto3.4
Teleop6.8
End3.5
blue by 3.6
702
#25
17.30.3
16.516.2
Auto3.3
Teleop11.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
74%Breach oddsEarned54%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed