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Red62
332822.0
151523.2
233922.5
Blue94
351231.2
126627.5
265925.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7274506080901001106294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1515
#18
23.21.0
23.322.3
Auto8.4
Teleop9.7
End5.1
blue by 7.9
31.21.6
25.927.5
Auto8.5
Teleop16.0
End6.6
Second
2339
#42
22.50.6
22.722.1
Auto6.6
Teleop11.8
End4.1
blue by 5.0
1266
#15
27.51.6
25.827.4
Auto8.4
Teleop15.0
End4.1
Third
3328
#16
22.00.6
25.224.6
Auto3.3
Teleop14.7
End4.0
blue by 3.2
2659
#27
25.22.7
18.120.8
Auto7.8
Teleop12.7
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
63%Breach oddsEarned49%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed