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Red82
583933.0
552221.4
386328.0
Blue95
69636.3
471127.4
70217.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74802040601001201401608295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.01.0
28.429.4
Auto7.7
Teleop16.9
End8.5
blue by 3.2
696
#6
36.30.9
33.634.5
Auto10.1
Teleop17.5
End8.7
Second
3863
#21
28.00.6
25.025.6
Auto7.1
Teleop12.3
End8.5
red by 0.6
4711
#17
27.40.9
27.128.0
Auto8.6
Teleop14.0
End4.8
Third
5522
#34
21.41.0
19.320.4
Auto5.2
Teleop11.3
End4.9
red by 4.1
702
#25
17.30.9
15.916.8
Auto3.3
Teleop11.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
82%Breach oddsMissed85%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed