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Red65
157226.0
431.6
576522.1
Blue119
580231.0
20742.2
545218.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7276406010012014065119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4
#11
31.60.4
27.827.4
Auto9.2
Teleop14.0
End8.3
blue by 10.7
207
#5
42.22.7
33.636.3
Auto6.6
Teleop24.3
End11.3
Second
1572
#22
26.00.4
26.726.3
Auto3.7
Teleop16.8
End5.6
blue by 4.9
31.02.7
28.030.7
Auto10.5
Teleop16.0
End4.5
Third
5765
#24
22.10.6
16.215.5
Auto4.7
Teleop13.8
End3.6
red by 3.3
5452
#33
18.94.5
12.016.5
Auto4.5
Teleop11.2
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
59%Breach oddsMissed74%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned