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Red46
59923.9
265925.2
312013.6
Blue65
606026.6
580231.0
58018.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6283401001201404665

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2659
#27
25.22.0
23.621.6
Auto7.8
Teleop12.7
End4.7
blue by 5.8
31.01.5
30.729.2
Auto10.5
Teleop16.0
End4.5
Second
599
#32
23.91.2
24.523.3
Auto5.1
Teleop16.0
End2.9
blue by 2.7
6060
#13
26.62.5
26.423.9
Auto9.8
Teleop12.1
End4.8
Third
3120
#39
13.62.0
15.713.7
Auto3.4
Teleop6.8
End3.5
blue by 4.7
580
#26
18.42.5
20.317.8
Auto3.1
Teleop12.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
50%Breach oddsMissed80%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed