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Red95
20742.2
157226.0
59923.9
Blue139
583933.0
33056.9
186828.2
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85115406010014016095139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
207
#5
42.20.5
37.337.8
Auto6.6
Teleop24.3
End11.3
blue by 14.7
330
#1
56.91.8
52.754.5
Auto14.3
Teleop35.8
End6.7
Second
1572
#22
26.00.5
26.427.0
Auto3.7
Teleop16.8
End5.6
blue by 7.0
33.02.8
31.534.3
Auto7.7
Teleop16.9
End8.5
Third
599
#32
23.90.5
23.323.8
Auto5.1
Teleop16.0
End2.9
blue by 4.3
1868
#10
28.22.8
23.125.8
Auto4.8
Teleop18.2
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
59%Breach oddsEarned85%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned