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Red95
580231.0
138832.7
126627.5
Blue35
545218.9
584911.9
302714.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions993802060801201401609535

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1388
#14
32.70.5
30.531.0
Auto8.1
Teleop20.9
End3.7
red by 13.9
5452
#33
18.91.1
18.617.4
Auto4.5
Teleop11.2
End3.1
Second
31.00.5
29.229.7
Auto10.5
Teleop16.0
End4.5
red by 16.7
3027
#35
14.31.1
19.618.5
Auto2.9
Teleop9.6
End1.8
Third
1266
#15
27.50.5
27.728.2
Auto8.4
Teleop15.0
End4.1
red by 15.6
5849
#41
11.91.1
7.86.7
Auto4.1
Teleop6.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned39%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed