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Red101
552221.4
265925.2
20742.2
Blue87
450126.2
545218.9
138832.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84786010012014010187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
207
#5
42.21.4
37.839.2
Auto6.6
Teleop24.3
End11.3
red by 9.5
1388
#14
32.70.7
31.031.7
Auto8.1
Teleop20.9
End3.7
Second
2659
#27
25.22.0
23.425.4
Auto7.8
Teleop12.7
End4.7
blue by 1.0
4501
#20
26.20.7
28.429.1
Auto3.3
Teleop17.8
End5.0
Third
5522
#34
21.42.0
19.321.3
Auto5.2
Teleop11.3
End4.9
red by 2.5
5452
#33
18.91.0
17.418.4
Auto4.5
Teleop11.2
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
55%Breach oddsEarned73%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed