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Red60
302714.3
59923.9
240415.4
Blue92
233922.5
576522.1
153836.8
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions548602040601001201406092

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
599
#32
23.90.2
23.323.5
Auto5.1
Teleop16.0
End2.9
blue by 12.9
1538
#12
36.81.2
38.840.0
Auto4.5
Teleop27.9
End4.4
Second
2404
#38
15.40.3
15.816.0
Auto6.4
Teleop8.9
End0.1
blue by 7.0
2339
#42
22.50.9
20.121.0
Auto6.6
Teleop11.8
End4.1
Third
3027
#35
14.30.3
17.818.1
Auto2.9
Teleop9.6
End1.8
blue by 7.8
5765
#24
22.11.2
19.620.8
Auto4.7
Teleop13.8
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
67%Breach oddsEarned52%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed