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Qual 742016 Ventura Regional
Red92
448630.4
186828.2
98027.2
Blue81
233922.5
581828.2
265925.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions847740601001201409281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4486
#8
30.40.4
29.2→29.6
Auto9.7
Teleop15.2
End5.6
red by 2.2
5818
#28
28.20.4
29.8→30.2
Auto6.8
Teleop17.1
End4.3
Second
1868
#10
28.20.5
26.0→26.5
Auto4.8
Teleop18.2
End5.2
red by 3.0
2659
#27
25.20.4
24.8→25.3
Auto7.8
Teleop12.7
End4.7
Third
980
#19
27.20.4
25.4→25.8
Auto7.9
Teleop15.2
End4.1
red by 4.7
2339
#42
22.50.4
21.0→21.4
Auto6.6
Teleop11.8
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned47%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed