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Qual 782016 Ventura Regional
Red100
448630.4
116027.4
580231.0
Blue71
151523.2
126627.5
471127.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions908220406010012014016010071

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5802
#4
31.00.9
30.2→31.1
Auto10.5
Teleop16.0
End4.5
red by 3.5
1266
#15
27.50.6
28.6→27.9
Auto8.4
Teleop15.0
End4.1
Second
4486
#8
30.40.9
29.6→30.5
Auto9.7
Teleop15.2
End5.6
red by 3.1
4711
#17
27.40.6
28.2→27.5
Auto8.6
Teleop14.0
End4.8
Third
1160
#23
27.40.9
26.7→27.6
Auto5.7
Teleop17.0
End4.8
red by 4.2
1515
#18
23.20.7
23.9→23.2
Auto8.4
Teleop9.7
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed