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Red60
581828.2
312013.6
392524.1
Blue64
545218.9
332822.0
583933.0
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71810501001502002506064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5818
#28
28.21.9
30.228.4
Auto6.8
Teleop17.1
End4.3
blue by 4.8
33.01.0
34.233.3
Auto7.7
Teleop16.9
End8.5
Second
3925
#30
24.11.7
24.222.5
Auto5.8
Teleop14.1
End4.2
red by 2.1
3328
#16
22.00.9
22.922.0
Auto3.3
Teleop14.7
End4.0
Third
3120
#39
13.62.0
15.713.6
Auto3.4
Teleop6.8
End3.5
blue by 5.2
5452
#33
18.91.0
19.818.9
Auto4.5
Teleop11.2
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
61%Breach oddsMissed75%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed