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Semifinal 2-12016 Ventura Regional
Red106
153836.8
351231.2
450126.2
Blue118
581828.2
580231.0
116027.4
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115109050150200106118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1538
#12
36.80.3
37.6→37.3
Auto4.5
Teleop27.9
End4.4
red by 5.8
5802
#4
31.00.3
31.5→31.1
Auto10.5
Teleop16.0
End4.5
Second
3512
#3
31.20.3
32.0→31.6
Auto8.5
Teleop16.0
End6.6
red by 2.9
5818
#28
28.20.3
28.8→28.4
Auto6.8
Teleop17.1
End4.3
Third
4501
#20
26.20.3
26.5→26.2
Auto3.3
Teleop17.8
End5.0
blue by 1.3
1160
#23
27.40.3
28.0→27.6
Auto5.7
Teleop17.0
End4.8