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Red101
153836.8
351231.2
126627.5
Blue123
581828.2
580231.0
116027.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12010650150200101123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1538
#12
36.80.5
37.336.8
Auto4.5
Teleop27.9
End4.4
red by 5.8
31.00.1
31.131.1
Auto10.5
Teleop16.0
End4.5
Second
31.20.5
31.631.2
Auto8.5
Teleop16.0
End6.6
red by 2.9
5818
#28
28.20.1
28.428.3
Auto6.8
Teleop17.1
End4.3
Third
1266
#15
27.50.5
27.927.5
Auto8.4
Teleop15.0
End4.1
Level
1160
#23
27.40.1
27.627.5
Auto5.7
Teleop17.0
End4.8