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Red225
167875.9
97178.4
60421.4
Blue195
325060.4
448851.3
207339.5
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions230191100150250300350225195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#1
78.40.0
78.478.4
Auto24.4
Teleop41.3
End12.7
red by 18.0
3250
#12
60.40.2
60.660.4
Auto18.2
Teleop32.0
End10.3
Second
75.90.0
75.975.9
Auto20.4
Teleop49.2
End6.3
red by 24.5
51.30.2
51.551.3
Auto11.9
Teleop33.5
End5.9
Third
604
#37
21.40.0
21.521.4
Auto3.3
Teleop14.7
End3.4
blue by 18.1
2073
#18
39.50.2
39.739.5
Auto4.4
Teleop31.4
End3.7