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Quarterfinal 4-22016 Chezy Champs
Red220
325060.4
448851.3
186821.6
Blue195
347651.2
196728.8
385941.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17813750100150200250300220195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3250
#12
60.41.0
59.9→60.9
Auto18.2
Teleop32.0
End10.3
red by 9.2
3476
#14
51.20.7
50.6→51.2
Auto11.3
Teleop32.3
End7.7
Second
4488
#4
51.31.0
50.8→51.8
Auto11.9
Teleop33.5
End5.9
red by 9.8
3859
#8
41.50.7
40.8→41.5
Auto8.4
Teleop29.5
End3.6
Third
1868
#39
21.61.0
20.3→21.3
Auto9.6
Teleop10.6
End1.3
blue by 7.3
1967
#23
28.80.7
28.2→28.8
Auto5.9
Teleop16.7
End6.2