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Qual 172016 Chezy Champs
Red150
25466.3
366344.5
570029.6
Blue140
549922.0
84125.8
97178.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions154111050200250300150140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#3
66.30.1
70.2→70.3
Auto19.9
Teleop40.6
End5.8
blue by 12.1
971
#1
78.41.1
69.6→70.6
Auto24.4
Teleop41.3
End12.7
Second
3663
#13
44.50.1
42.2→42.3
Auto8.5
Teleop31.0
End5.0
red by 18.7
841
#27
25.81.1
20.6→21.7
Auto4.5
Teleop18.7
End2.6
Third
5700
#17
29.60.1
30.8→31.0
Auto7.2
Teleop17.5
End4.9
red by 7.5
5499
#40
22.01.1
23.8→24.9
Auto4.4
Teleop15.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
47%Capture oddsEarned23%Capture oddsMissed