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Red65
97221.7
549922.0
84634.6
Blue172
167875.9
96838.6
330946.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63156010020025030065172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#11
34.61.0
30.329.4
Auto7.6
Teleop22.8
End4.2
blue by 41.3
75.92.2
65.667.9
Auto20.4
Teleop49.2
End6.3
Second
5499
#40
22.01.0
25.824.8
Auto4.4
Teleop15.2
End2.4
blue by 24.5
3309
#21
46.62.2
44.246.4
Auto11.1
Teleop30.6
End4.8
Third
972
#22
21.71.0
18.717.7
Auto5.4
Teleop15.5
End0.8
blue by 16.9
968
#6
38.62.2
28.831.0
Auto11.2
Teleop21.8
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
59%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed40%Capture oddsEarned