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Qual 242016 Chezy Champs
Red69
432.0
96838.6
582926.7
Blue66
570029.6
567729.9
592428.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92916070801001101201306966

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
968
#6
38.61.6
33.0→31.4
Auto11.2
Teleop21.8
End5.6
red by 8.7
5677
#30
29.91.6
25.2→23.6
Auto5.8
Teleop19.5
End4.6
Second
4
#10
32.01.6
29.1→27.5
Auto8.3
Teleop16.6
End7.2
red by 2.5
5700
#17
29.61.7
31.0→29.2
Auto7.2
Teleop17.5
End4.9
Third
5829
#25
26.71.6
25.7→24.1
Auto8.2
Teleop16.2
End2.3
blue by 1.5
5924
#19
28.31.6
33.4→31.8
Auto8.9
Teleop15.4
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed7%Capture oddsMissed