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Qual 342016 Chezy Champs
Red144
330946.6
39934.1
581728.7
Blue127
454327.0
84125.8
325060.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11510150150200144127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3309
#21
46.62.0
51.2→53.2
Auto11.1
Teleop30.6
End4.8
blue by 13.9
3250
#12
60.41.8
53.6→55.4
Auto18.2
Teleop32.0
End10.3
Second
399
#24
34.12.0
32.1→34.1
Auto4.7
Teleop23.8
End5.5
red by 7.1
4543
#41
27.01.8
26.1→27.8
Auto6.5
Teleop18.9
End1.6
Third
5817
#20
28.72.0
26.3→28.2
Auto8.2
Teleop19.1
End1.3
red by 2.9
841
#27
25.81.8
20.7→22.5
Auto4.5
Teleop18.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach oddsEarned70%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsEarned3%Capture oddsMissed